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Some Links

I forgot to mention earlier, but Jon Goff has had good stuff lately.

Also, check out a nice picture of Titan 1 gimbals (you can click for a big picture but it’s quite a slow site). I’m pretty sure this is the first stage so there is actually another engine behind the one in the picture. The thrust mount and the gimbal link arms show quite nicely anyway. It’s remarkable how complex stuff turns anyway despite the simple principles and best intentions of the designers.

titan 1 gimbal

Fed Up

I’m quite that just right now. It will pass. Perhaps.

There’s been some discussion in various places about both NASA and potential future launch vehicles. Everything’s just so static in a large sense. Completely hopeless. I’ll throw in the towel for now.

Almost nobody has the required long attention span or patience to make any useful progress on the space front, and certainly not society itself.

The Players

USA is the only instance that is putting any significant money into doing anything new. And that’s wasted on the Ares rockets. ESA consists of a bunch of bickering countries, they’ve achieved some nice things but most of the people in the parttaking countries don’t even know they exist. No significant money spent on doing anything new, and what is done in Europe, is very often just me-too copying of American approaches. (Take Hermes as an example.) India is running with some crazy hypersonic stuff. China is doing intermittent Soyuz copy PR flights. Japan is doing something overcomplicated and abortive like they have always seemed to.

What are we left with? A bunch of US newspace companies with so little funding they won’t reach much in the next decade (Euro real newspace like SPL has zero funding at the moment). Scaled’s Spaceshiptwo is a dead end propulsion wise with the hybrids, and the air launching provides some scalability problems too. Maybe XCOR’s Lynx will fly some tourists to some altitude, and maybe there might be some X-racers. It won’t change stuff radically. The X-15 lessons were tossed to the trashbin too, to make way for the farces of NASP and X-33. Armadillo might fly something newish. So what? They don’t have enough money to even put turbopumps on the vehicle, resulting in ridiculous performance for orbital missions.

SpaceX? Forget it. It’s a rerun of Orbital Sciences Corporation, at best (and at the moment it looks much worse). No revolution, and evolution only very slightly.

COTS? Maybe something will actually fly, as it seems it has to try to pick up the mess that NASA put itself in with Ares and Orion. I’m not so well versed into the coming phases and how the politics will go. Both Lockmart and Boeing are in Ares/Orion so they don’t have such strong incentives to replace it with their own COTS solution flying on EELV on the short term. Depending how tightly they can keep their own ULA/EELV guys on a leash, and that has been shown to be ugly, people having gotten into trouble for what they have said on some web forums. NASA’s logical short term COTS alternative, a capsule on an EELV is thus self-censored.

But all this, even when happening in a good way, won’t change price to orbit significantly or enable real spacefaring.

What You’d Need

You’d need a refuel and go again reusable launch vehicle (RAGA RLV) that has turbopumps. No newspace company has money for that (and they are wisely using their little money on something else anyway). Besides, you’d in any case need multiple X-vehicles to develop the techniques like TPS or launch infrastructure and procedures to maturity so they could be operated with reasonable crew size and consistency. A launcher could be depended upon.

Human societies don’t seem to have capability to demand long term commitment to that technology development.

Environment Analogy

Same with the environment. If oil prices stay above 100 dollars, coal based petroleum will come soon and the synthesis already will produce massive amounts of CO2. New coal plants will be built too to produce cheap electricity to consumers who want it. Earth will change significantly with the resulting temperature rise.

No significant new energy producing or saving technology or international pacts will be seriously considered, never mind put into effect in the next ten years.

P.S. This post was written with the new Firefox 3. Hope it doesn’t muck up during publishing. Happy Midsummer. Looks to be rainy here.

Less Posting for a While

I seem to have left space stuff a little behind lately, maybe because I’ve also been working with some other projects, some including new social scenes. I’ve been trying to broaden my horizons for the last month or so, getting into places where I’m quite out of my element, just for the heck of it, and a lot of it has been very nice.

This will probably continue for the summer.

David Harris finally wrote the article on NSF that was a long time coming. Ares V might very well move to 5.5 segment SRB:s. There goes the commonality with Ares I.

Mike Griffin, Scott Horowitz, Doug Stanley and the others might have picked an architecture with too little margins and too many limits.

In other links, the Space Review has an article discussing how NASA (as well as the public and the contractors) is misguided with it’s “program mentality”, or something in that vein, I haven’t read it yet, but if Monte Davis comments that it’s good, then it probably is.

Testing Embedding

Images from BBC, music from Yeasayer, AFAIK. I’m just linking to it. Enjoy.

Nowadays new exoplanets are found every week. Exoplanet blog systemic has an article from February about possible Earth-like planets around Alpha Centauri B.

What’s remarkable is the easiness with which they could be detected if some resources are spent. And if a planet like that exist, it’s one of the top destinations for future interstellar probes and eventually human craft, because of the short four light year distance.

I’ve always found exoplanets very fascinating. They represent truly new knowledge that wasn’t yet available to us only a few years ago. If the graph below is to believe, the trend is promising, and in only a few years we might have even publicly notable results about Earth-like planets.

Freefall

I’m a long time reader of this excellent web comic, freefall. It’s actually the only one I read. It’s quite clever and funny, although often quite cheesy and finger-pointing too. I keep coming back to it. It’s clear the writer has good technical and scientific knowledge and weaves that in with the comical happenings. And there’s a bigger overarching very fascinating plot.

Freefall comic

The Last Five Kilometers

I was recently reading Mark Wade’s Pausanias, Encyclopedia Astronautica’s blog. He called quits from blogging in November 2007, after being utterly disappointed in the short-sightedness and selfishness behind NASA’s exploration architecture decisions, and I quote:

What can be more sobering than NASA returning to water landings and expendable capsules descending under parachutes — technology selected as a ’stopgap’ measure 45 years in order to beat the Russians to the moon.

I happen to agree with him somewhat in this regard.

I’ve been thinking about this landing problem for quite some time, in how it relates to making space access more hassle free in the return part also. This thinking was also again recalled by the recent Gemini paraglider thread on NSF.

Gemini

Canadian aerospace guru Henry Spencer often laments how space technology has practically stagnated since the sixties since the research budgets for new ideas were killed. Everything is just the same old same old. The Gemini paraglider was one of those things that “never got a chance again”.

NASA Parawing Testing

The Paresev-1 vehicle was a towed parawing glider NASA quickly whipped up to test the concept. Its pilots included Gus Grissom and Milt Thompson. Check out the amazing photos and videos at NASA Dryden. At those times NASA and the contractors were still more agile, building new prototypes and testing them quite quickly.

There wasn’t enough time to do a parawing-and-skids landing Gemini in the heated space race, and apparently the development had many troubles along the way.

Parachutes, wings and foils

But in 1962 parawings were a very new technology. The Paresev-1 used a hang glider type steel tube frame onto which the fabric was fixed. Gemini would have used an inflatable structure, which was never fully demonstrated.

Nowadays there has been a huge progress, thanks to the daredevil skydivers and other adventurers inventing ever faster, better lifting and more agile systems. Perhaps the best low mass decent lift system is the ram-air parafoil (patented in 1964 and improved considerably since). It is wing-shaped and stays quite rigid by pressurizing with the ram air on the front. Parafoils can reach high lift to drag ratios. It is a technology that is worlds better than the old Gemini parawing.

parafoil pond swooping

Above picture of pond swooping by Skydive New England. Control accuracy, maneuverability and zero sink rate are nicely demonstrated.

But why not use parachutes instead of parafoils? Well, they have problems. You can not really steer them much at all. There is very little lift and mostly just drag, which means that the descent speed is quite large compared to the chute size. And it also means that you can’t fly them.

Flying has numerous advantages compared to falling. You can do a flare move just before landing to make the landing very gentle. You might need skids or even wheels though in case the flare doesn’t stop you completely. And you can navigate when you fly. Precision skydivers routinely land their foot directly on a point target in competitions. If your ram-air parafoil has a lift to drag of 10, and you start gliding at 5 kilometer height, you can theoretically pick any landing point in a 50 km radius. You can land on a runway. You can have better L/D than the space shuttle, meaning an easier and more flexible and maneuverable landing.

The paragliding world distance record is actually a whopping 460 km. Wikipedia also has a nice page about parawings. The airfoils are approaching rigid wings in performance.

Overall, parachuting has evolved orders of magnitude more than rocketry in the last forty years, here’s just one link telling of the history of the parafoil.

In practice of course, there are limitations. In a space vehicle, you don’t want to pack in a big parafoil. And that means that you must fly fast to stay aloft with a small foil, and ram-air parafoils do have lower speed limits than wings naturally. Also, winds affect slow speed vehicles a lot, you can’t make that much distance gliding to headwind. Winds can help at reducing landing speed nicely though, if you have a runway with the right direction.

X-38

So, NASA noted the advances and did pick a big parafoil for the X-38 CRV. The X-38 was a lifting body “space station lifeboat” or Crew Return Vehicle that was in development during the nineties and early noughties but was then canceled.

NASA X-38 on parafoil

The parafoil was the biggest in history (and AFAIK, still is) with 700 square meters area. It was steerable by wire pulling. Only slightly smaller, up to 80% subscale versions of X-38 were drop tested, weighing 7 to 11 t but the craft was pretty heavy considering it was designed for six crew and was a less mass efficient lifting body. 11,000 kg for 700 square meters gives 16 kg per square meter wing loading. Compare that to the three crew roomy Apollo command module of about 6 tons mass. So the X-38 parafoil could have perhaps worked for the Orion command module with little changes.

Orion and Apollo

Why didn’t NASA pick a Parafoil for Orion? At the moment the design is going with three parachutes just like Apollo. Well, one of the reasons is water landing, where you don’t need landing accuracy, flaring or speed zeroing as much. You can do pretty fine with the less refined parachutes.

And probably the biggest reason is that you can have better redundancy with three parachutes.

Apollo 15 descends

As pictured above, Apollo 15 landed quite fine with one chute not working. It would be hard if not impossible to design a system with multiple parafoils with such tolerance for failures.

Discussion

Of course, the opposing question is, is such redundancy needed? Gemini had ejection seats, and in theory, if the parafoil doesn’t work, you could sever it and bail out. In a falling capsule you won’t have much time though, it might be hard to get out and ejection seats introduce their own complications and hazards merely by being included in the design, never mind their not entirely high safety factor when operating.

Flying with a parafoil is also a more complicated affair than simply falling with chutes. You need to control the foil by pulling the wires, and you need to know where you are going, especially at the late stages of landing and touchdown and you need good visibility for that, something that spacecraft are not usually very good at, with tiny windows and the crew lying on its back.

Proposal

If I was asked to pick a favorite spacecraft design right now, I’d pick a parawing landing capsule. The craft could have a backup parachute, and do re-entry over water so that if the foil doesn’t work, pop up the parachute and land heavily in water. The US has ideal environment for this, as the craft can land in California or Florida, both having a good water approach. ESA could land in the US or Australia for example. Since the capsule can fly tens of kilometers on the parafoil, it is likely that a gentle runway landing can be achieved. Thus the capsule should be easily reusable.

Contrast this to spaceplanes, either lifting body or with wings, which have much bigger mass for the same payload, might have good overall down and cross range compared to the capsule because of hypersonic maneuvering but have terrible lift to drag and lift to mass compared to the parafoil, meaning a steep and fast final approach.

A capsule with a parawing should be a fraction of the mass and much easier and carefree to fly on landing. The capsule’s thermal protection system also is inherently simpler and much smaller than the big lifting vehicles which require sharp edges and complex shapes that are fragile and expensive to make and maintain.

And the rocket needed to launch the capsule would share the same mass and cost advantage - and the capsule can fly beyond Earth orbit since it doesn’t carry the vast dead mass of wings.

But I’m getting carried away, this post was about the last five kilometers only. The main point is that the parafoil is the capsule’s way out of the disadvantaged position of helpless passive falling and need for extensive recovery which has been the tradition so far. Capsules don’t have to be like that. The world has moved on since the sixties and offers wonderful opportunities. With the parafoil, capsules can fly.

Sigh

EDIT: Thought I lost a post I wrote but found it in an unexpected place instead! So I’m cancelling this rant about autosave not working and will finish that post instead.

[rant was here but is not worth reading]

Japanese Invisibility

There’s been some press about the “invisibility cloak” that would become possible with the new metamaterials that can exhibit negative refractive index. There’s an article about a specific “lens” design here at the Japanese Tech On site. The basic idea is just to bend the light rays coming from behind the object and make them go around a bend (the object you want to hide is in the bend) and then straighten them out again so they can continue on their original path as if nothing had happened. So in my understanding the result would not be an invisibility cloak but perhaps something more like a block of glass that appears completely clear from all directions but there is actually an object inside it.

This technology apparently works for other wavelengths, probably even easier to do.

invisibility achieved with metamaterials.

Put the object in the bend on the left side of the circle and it’s invisible - it doesn’t block, reflect or in any way interact with the yellow light rays

This could mean all kinds of trouble in the future. Think what kind of collisions an almost invisible (both to the eye and radar) aircraft could have. You might only need small engine intake and exhaust ports to be seen. Or people entering forbidden places inside a cylinder shaped “invisibility can”. The technology, if realized, will probably be heavy, limited to certain shapes and visually quite imperfect though.

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